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基于SSA-TSVR的飛機狀態(tài)預測方法研究
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中國民航大學(xué)

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國家重點(diǎn)研發(fā)計劃項目子課題(2023YFB4302901)


Research on Aircraft State Prediction Method Based on SSA-TSVR
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    摘要:

    為了構建地面飛行安全態(tài)勢監測系統,針對飛機狀態(tài)數據向地面傳輸過(guò)程中出現數據傳輸異常情況而導致無(wú)法對飛機狀態(tài)進(jìn)行實(shí)時(shí)監控的問(wèn)題,提出一種基于SSA-TSVR的飛機狀態(tài)預測方法,使用隨機森林算法對真實(shí)飛行數據進(jìn)行特征重要度分析,篩選與待預測飛機狀態(tài)參數關(guān)系密切的重要參數,獲得待預測參數與飛行數據間重要度關(guān)系;通過(guò)孿生支持向量回歸算法建立預測模型,對缺失的關(guān)鍵飛行狀態(tài)參數進(jìn)行預測;并運用飛鼠搜索算法對孿生支持向量回歸模型進(jìn)行優(yōu)化,根據不同預測對象選擇對應的最優(yōu)核函數,提高了模型預測精度;以飛行高度、速度為預測對象進(jìn)行實(shí)驗驗證,預測模型實(shí)現了利用不完整飛行數據對飛機狀態(tài)進(jìn)行準確預測,對飛機飛行狀態(tài)監測有著(zhù)重要意義。

    Abstract:

    In order to build a ground flight safety situation monitoring system, an aircraft status prediction method based on SSA-TSVR was proposed to analyze the feature importance of real flight data, aiming at the problem that real-time monitoring of aircraft status data could not be carried out due to abnormal data transmission during the transmission process of aircraft status data to the ground. The important parameters that are closely related to the aircraft state parameters to be predicted are screened, and the importance relationship between the parameters to be predicted and the flight data is obtained. The twin support vector regression algorithm was used to build a prediction model to predict the missing key flight state parameters. The twin support vector regression model is optimized by using the flying squirrel search algorithm, and the optimal kernel function is selected according to different prediction objects to improve the prediction accuracy of the model. With flight altitude and speed as prediction objects, the prediction model realizes the accurate prediction of aircraft state by using incomplete flight data, which is of great significance for aircraft flight state monitoring.

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趙晗,樊智勇,劉濤.基于SSA-TSVR的飛機狀態(tài)預測方法研究計算機測量與控制[J].,2024,32(9):125-132.

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歷史
  • 收稿日期:2024-03-08
  • 最后修改日期:2024-03-29
  • 錄用日期:2024-04-01
  • 在線(xiàn)發(fā)布日期: 2024-10-08
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