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一種智慧地鐵軌道狀態(tài)預測和維修決策優(yōu)化系統
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云南南天電子信息產(chǎn)業(yè)股份有限公司

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A Intelligent Subway Track State Prediction and Maintenance Decision-Making Optimization System
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    摘要:

    為提高地鐵軌道智能化管理水平,設計了一種新的智慧地鐵軌道管理系統。分別設計了樸素貝葉斯分類(lèi)器、Logistic回歸分類(lèi)器和支持向量機分類(lèi)器,并構建了基于Stacking集成算法的軌道狀態(tài)預測模型。利用XX地鐵1號線(xiàn)、2號線(xiàn)和6號線(xiàn)在2015~2021年的設備數據、檢測數據和維修數據,驗證了模型有效性。引入自適應學(xué)習的馬爾可夫決策過(guò)程(AL-MDP),構建了基于Stacking-SVM的軌道維修決策優(yōu)化模型。利用模型對地鐵軌道進(jìn)行運行狀態(tài)感知和異常狀態(tài)預測,通過(guò)自適應學(xué)習的過(guò)程不斷學(xué)習地鐵軌道的劣化機理,并且為軌道的狀態(tài)預警和維修策略提供個(gè)性化、精細化的決策建議。最后,設計并實(shí)現了智慧地鐵軌道管理系統。引入AL-MDP后進(jìn)一步降低地鐵軌道的維修成本,能夠實(shí)時(shí)掌握地鐵軌道的運作狀態(tài)。該研究給管理者和工作者提供精細化、個(gè)性化、更科學(xué)的維修優(yōu)化決策,對維修成本和軌道安全實(shí)現雙重精準控制。

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    Improve the intelligent management level of subway track, a new intelligent subway track management system was designed. Naive Bayes Classifier, Logistic Regression Classifier and Support Vector Machine Classifier were designed respectively, and a track state prediction model based on Stacking ensemble algorithm was constructed. Using the equipment data, inspection data and maintenance data of XX Metro Line 1, 2 and 6 from 2015 to 2021, the validity of the model was verified. Furthermore, an Adaptive Learning Markov Decision Process (AL-MDP) was introduced, and an optimization model of track maintenance decision based on Stacking-SVM was constructed. The model was used to sense the running state of the subway track and predict the abnormal state, and continuously learned the deterioration mechanism of the subway track through the process of adaptive learning, and provided personalized and refined decision-making suggestions for the state warning and maintenance strategy of the track. Finally, the intelligent subway track management system was designed and implemented. After the introduction of AL-MDP, the maintenance cost of the subway track was further reduced, and the operation status of the subway track can be grasped in real time. This research provides managers and workers with refined, personalized and more scientific maintenance optimization decisions, and achieves dual precise control of maintenance costs and track safety.

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李茂圣,王大彬.一種智慧地鐵軌道狀態(tài)預測和維修決策優(yōu)化系統計算機測量與控制[J].,2023,31(2):48-54.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-07-04
  • 最后修改日期:2022-07-28
  • 錄用日期:2022-07-28
  • 在線(xiàn)發(fā)布日期: 2023-02-16
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